Rabu, 25 Desember 2013

[D293.Ebook] Ebook Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth

Ebook Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth

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Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth

Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth



Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth

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Differential Equations, by K. A. Stroud, Dexter Booth

Using the same innovative and proven approach that made the authors' Engineering Mathematics a worldwide bestseller, this book can be used in the classroom or as an in-depth self-study guide. Its unique programmed approach patiently presents the mathematics in a step-by-step fashion together with a wealth of worked examples and exercises. It also contains Quizzes, Learning Outcomes, and Can You? checklists that guide readers through each topic and reinforce learning and comprehension. Both students and professionals alike will find this book a very effective learning tool and reference.

  • Offers many practical do’s and don’ts while covering all the popular Fanuc control systems exclusively.
  • Numerous examples and sample programs are used throughout and serve as practical applications of the techniques presented and as the basis of ready-to-run macro programs.

  • Sales Rank: #1090210 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Industrial Press, Inc.
  • Published on: 2004-01-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x .90" w x 7.00" l, 1.66 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 416 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
By far the best book on the subject I have ever seen! An easy-to-use refresher course. --Henry Ryffel, Author Machinery's Handbook

About the Author
K.A. Stroud formerly was a professor in the Department of Mathematics at Lanchester Polytechnic (now Coventry University) in the United Kingdom. He is also the lead author of the very popular Engineering Mathematics and Advanced Engineering Mathematics, which are also available from Industrial Press.

Dexter J. Booth teaches in the United Kingdom at the University of Huddersfield. He is the author of several mathematics books, including with Stroud the latest editions of Engineering Mathematics and Advanced Engineering Mathematics.

Most helpful customer reviews

23 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
limited, but excellent within those limitations. Good for the how, not the why
By Patrick Thompson
Ok, this is not a beginners book. You NEED to know your algebra, trig relations, and calculus very well before you start on this, in particular differentiaion of log, exponential, trigonometric functions, implicit differentiation, integration by parts and substitution. Also good if your up on partial fractions, complex numbers and of course, your algebra. There is not attempt at revision of these ocncepts in the book and no appendices containing it. You'll probably need a table of integrals handy too when you work through it on the questions.

Ok, that aside, the book is purely about solving ODE's. It's contents include

program 1: First order Differential Equations

program 2: Second order differential equations

program 3: series 1

program 4: series 2

program 5: power series solutions of ODEs

program 6: Introdction to laplace trasnforms

program 7: Laplace transforms 2

program 8: laplace transforms 3

program 9: Z transforms

program 10: Matrix Algebra

program 11: Numerical solutions of ODEs

OK, the book has all the answers (not worked) to all of the questions. The questions are plentiful and take the form of review exercises (for each sub program), Test Exercises for each program and Further Exercises for each program. As far as I can tell there are no errors in the answers. I will warn you though: some of the further exercises are difficult! (we talking: multiple change of variable substitutions, partial fractions followed by integration by parts all to solve one ode!).

The teaching of the methods (algorithms if you prefer) is rquite strong with multiple fully worked examples for each concept and then questions for you to answer followed by fully worked solutions for those answers so you can see where you may have gone wrong. However strong this pedagogy is, there is little actual motivation for the work. There is no connection to applying ODE's to the real world. Also, some of the proofs are not what you would could rigorous, which will annoy the math students and please the engineers.

I suggest ODEs by Tennenbaum and Pollard (isbn: 0486649407) if you want motivation and just about every possible application of ODEs to real situations, in addition to this book. Do this book first perhaps to get the methods (algorithms) down and then go to Tennenbaum and Pollard for applying ODEs and filling in the gaps that this book leaves.

For somebody who just needs to know how, this is a good book: if you can't learn it from this book, then you probably aren't gonna get it without some help from a prof/ lecturer. if you want to know why, then it isn't so great (hence the loss ot stars).

So in conclusion, not bad. Does what it seeks to do extremely well, but what it seeks to do is the algorithms for solving ODEs, not applying ODEs and solving actual physical applications. Also, proofs lack some rigor and make a few assumptions.

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Not a bad place to start learning differential equations.
By Leeber Cohen
This textbook is a relatively good place for self learners to begin their study of differential equations. The method used takes you step by step through the many worked out examples. The degree of calculus algebra, trig, and calculus needed is not overwhelming. A one year course in calculus is more than adequate. The book would receive a 5 rating if all the test problems and further problems were fully worked out. It is also lacking in first and second order word problems. The best answer for this is to find a copy of the Schaum's Solved Problems in Differential Equations which is out of print. What a shame. It would be wonderful if Schaum's updated and reprinted it. There is no better way to learn this material than to learn the fundamentals, try solving the problems, and then check against a solved solutions. Stroud's Programs 3-5 on series and Programs 6-8 on LaPlace Transforms are very well done. Program 10 on matrix algebra gives you a brief introduction to Linear Algebra including a brief introduction to eigenvalues and vectors. Program 11 on numerical solutions is dated. You will need to find training materials from Maple, Matlab, and Mathematica or other vendors. The Tennenbaum text mentioned in the other review is an excellent standard textbook available from Dover at a very modest price. For the mathematicians out there the derivations and theorems are more thorough as stated. The material in Stroud's programs 1-2 is much more fully covered by Tennenbaum. The issue with Tennenbaum is there are not enough worked out examples. Answers are given for the numerous problems but not worked out. I have not been able to find them solved on line which would be great for self learners like myself. The Dummies Series workbook on Differential Equations is pretty good although there are a couple of errors in the solutions that need to be fixed and the derivation of the LaPlace transform of the sin(x) could be much more straightforward. If you can afford it you can purchase the textbook which accompanies it. They are not a bad place to start and both together cost less than the Stroud text. The Differential Equations DeMystified text has a lot of interesting material in it. However,it is a difficult read and not a good learning tool. There are several standard textbooks on Differetial Equations. They are expensive books.

10 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Guys Get This For Self Teaching & Add Tenenbaum Too!
By THE HAPPY READER
This book is for the self taught gentleman. If you prefer to teach yourself, or are just not very good in a classroom setting, you know sitting for long hours and just listening... and for most of us guys does it's not why we picked the sciences. No we'd much rather get into it for ourselves! And this book is pretty darn good for that. Why pretty darn good vs. perfect? Well it doesn't really address the "theory" side of things. It just shows you the techniques themselves. For the theory you're probably better off with Ordinary Differential Equations by Morris Tenenbaum. I don't think Tenenbaum shows the step by step process as well as this book does. There were a couple of spots where I had to stop for a second because the next step wasn't quite so clear, but a few minutes of contemplation cleared things up.
But overall, if you really buckle down with this puppy, and keep doing the exercises on paper (not just in your head) it will teach you the essentials of differential equations. Then if you supplement it with Tenenbaum, well you'll be well versed. Better than one of the paper mill students of the modern University - unless your lucky enough to get an enthusiastic professor who also has talent in conveying his knowledge to you.
Lastly the book could use some more examples, but that would drive up the cost even more. Consider checking out Schaum's Differential Equations from your local library or school's library for more problems though. Quick and easy with the solutions in the back.

Short Summary:
This book succeeds as a self teaching guide to techniques, stops short on theory, and could also use a few more example problems, but does have enough to learn the basic idea for each technique.

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Sabtu, 21 Desember 2013

[L127.Ebook] Free Ebook Denying to the Grave: Why We Ignore the Facts That Will Save Us, by Sara E. Gorman, Jack M. Gorman

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Denying to the Grave: Why We Ignore the Facts That Will Save Us, by Sara E. Gorman, Jack M. Gorman

Denying to the Grave: Why We Ignore the Facts That Will Save Us, by Sara E. Gorman, Jack M. Gorman



Denying to the Grave: Why We Ignore the Facts That Will Save Us, by Sara E. Gorman, Jack M. Gorman

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Denying to the Grave: Why We Ignore the Facts That Will Save Us, by Sara E. Gorman, Jack M. Gorman

Why do some parents refuse to vaccinate their children? Why do some people keep guns at home, despite scientific evidence of risk to their family members? And why do people use antibiotics for illnesses they cannot possibly alleviate? When it comes to health, many people insist that science is wrong, that the evidence is incomplete, and that unidentified hazards lurk everywhere.

In Denying to the Grave, Gorman and Gorman, a father-daughter team, explore the psychology of health science denial. Using several examples of such denial as test cases, they propose six key principles that may lead individuals to reject "accepted" health-related wisdom: the charismatic leader; fear of complexity; confirmation bias and the internet; fear of corporate and government conspiracies; causality and filling the ignorance gap; and the nature of risk prediction. The authors argue that the health sciences are especially vulnerable to our innate resistance to integrate new concepts with pre-existing beliefs. This psychological difficulty of incorporating new information is on the cutting edge of neuroscience research, as scientists continue to identify brain responses to new information that reveal deep-seated, innate discomfort with changing our minds.

Denying to the Grave explores risk theory and how people make decisions about what is best for them and their loved ones, in an effort to better understand how people think when faced with significant health decisions. This book points the way to a new and important understanding of how science should be conveyed to the public in order to save lives with existing knowledge and technology.

  • Sales Rank: #24456 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-09-01
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 6.20" h x 1.20" w x 9.40" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 328 pages

Review

"In this superb book, Sara E. Gorman (project manager, Johnson & Johnson Global Public Health) and psychiatrist Jack M. Gorman (CEO & chief scientific officer, Franklin Behavioral Health; The Essential Guide to Psychiatric Drugs) collaborate to explain why many people deny scientifically established facts, even in the face of compelling evidence...Perfect for fans of the subject and Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."--Library Journal, Starred Review


"Perhaps a new book, Denying to the Grave by public health specialists (a father and daughter team) Sara Gorman and Jack Gorman, can help us understand why facts and statistics fall on deaf ears time and time again...The book is thoughtful, exploring the psychology, neurobiology and evolutionary roots that underpin some of our decision-making, which can make adaptive behaviour maladaptive."--New Scientist


"In [Denying to the Grave], the Gormans explain not just how people fall for the false claims of politicians, but also how intelligent people wind up in cults or why a nation wracked by gun violence continues to reject gun-control measure... [The Gormans are] equal opportunity debunkers, taking on GMO fear-mongering and anti-vaxers along with the National Rifle Association."--The Atlantic


"Why do so many cling to beliefs that run counter to evidence? Sara Gorman, a public health expert, and Jack Gorman, a psychiatrist, investigate the psychological factors that lead to such self-defeating denial of facts and conclude that normal, evolutionarily adaptive tendencies act against us."--Scientific American


About the Author

Sara Gorman, PhD, MPH, is a public health specialist at a large multinational healthcare company, where she works on global mental health, increasing the quality of evidence in the global health field, and alternative funding models for global health. She has written extensively about global health, HIV/AIDS policy, and women's health, among other topics, for a variety of health and medical journals, including PLoS Medicine, the International Journal of Women's Health, and AIDS Care. She has worked in the policy division at the HIV Law Project and as a researcher at the Epidemiology Department at Harvard School of Public Health. She has also analyzed mental health policy under the ACA for the Vera Institute of Justice and researched the effectiveness of semi-mobile HIV clinics in rural Kenya for HealthRight International.

Jack M. Gorman, MD, is CEO and Chief Scientific Officer of Franklin Behavioral Health Consultants. Dr. Gorman was on the faculty of Columbia University's Department of Psychiatry for 25 years, eventually serving as Lieber Professor of Psychiatry. He then became the Esther and Joseph Klingenstein Professor and Chair of Psychiatry and Professor of Neuroscience at the Mount Sinai School of Medicine.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Fascinating Book
By Stephen
Why would bright people lead their lives in ways that are exactly opposite to the ways that are proven scientifically? Denying to the Grave is a wonderful book that explores reasons behind such behavior. For example, 2 of the reasons are the “following of a charismatic leader” and a “fear of conspiracy by government and corporations.” The traditional approach of providing more data will obviously not work in light of such reasons and the authors suggest innovative ways of convincing people to do the right thing. It is a fascinating read.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Denying to the Grave
By A. McNamara
Very interesting and informative book. It is scientific and research based, but never dry. It has lots of interesting anecdotes that the non-science oriented person (me) can relate to.

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By Don
The book was interesting, but WAY too long!

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Selasa, 17 Desember 2013

[I372.Ebook] Fee Download Defining Your Own Success: Breastfeeding After Breast Reduction Surgery, by Diana West

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Defining Your Own Success: Breastfeeding After Breast Reduction Surgery, by Diana West

This book was written to enable mother who have had breast reduction surgery to breastfeed their babies. although written directly to the mother who wishes to breastfeed after reduction, this book is also a valuable resource for health care professionals--surgeons, physicians, midwives, pediatrics and maternity nurses and lactation consultants. This first of its kind publication addresses questions and myths whether its possible to breastfeed after breast reduction surgery.

  • Sales Rank: #2744783 in Books
  • Published on: 2001-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 6.25" w x 1.00" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 328 pages

About the Author
Diana West is an international board-certified lactation consultant (IBCLC) in private practice, author of "Defining Your Own Success: Breastfeeding After Breast Reduction Surgery," ILCA's popular "Clinician's Breastfeeding Triage Tool," and co-author with Lisa Marasco of "Making More Milk: A Nursing Mother's Guide to Milk Supply." She is a retired La Leche League Leader, a website developer, and administrator of the popular BFAR.org, LowMilkSupply.org, and LactSpeak.org websites. To top it all off, she and her family raise german shepherd guide dog puppies for the Seeing Eye. Most importantly, though, Diana mothers her three charming, breastfed sons in partnership with her husband Brad in their home in New Jersey, which she has discovered is much nicer than the way it looks on the Sopranos.

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Mom of 3 with severe nerve tissue damage due to breast surgery
By Domi Schutz
If you had breast reduction survey and plan to breastfeed, this book is a MUST.

I was not able to breastfeed my first child because I had prepared for lactation just as other women do. Only after my baby would spend 45 minutes trying to nurse and the lactation consultant's scale showed she was not able to get more than a few drops of milk, did I realize that my breast reduction had damaged essential nerves and there was a disconnect between milk production and the "let down" function. My brain did not register a baby at the breast. It was a traumatic experience for me & baby. By the time we came up with a plan of attack, it was too late: baby was hooked on the bottle doctors told me I HAD to use if baby was to survive.

This book was heaven-sent! I purchased it several months before I gave birth to my second child, used all of their tips and successfully breastfed my 2nd and 3rd children. I had to use the SNS system with the second child, but I was prepared and where other women stock on bottle feeding supplies, I stocked on SNS stuff. With my 3rd child, I only used the "tricking your brain into believing you are feeding twins" strategy and rented an industrial-grade breast pump before due date. I used it for 10 months. My 3rd child was solely breastfed for 10 months and then he took bottles with my frozen milk into age 1 - never had formula.

This book and this book alone is the reason for my success story.

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
A Must Have for BFAR Mothers
By BnEsMommy
I purchased this book prior to my first child being born in 2008, 5 years post surgery, because I KNEW I wanted to breastfeed. I just wasn't sure that I'd be able to. In order to give myself the best chance possible I purchased this book. I am ever so grateful that I did. There is a wealth of knowledge contained in this book. I had doctors telling me it was unlikely I'd be successful. I never gave up hope. Reading real life stories of other woman who had been there, knowing the medical explanation(s) for different reduction procedures, every last bit of information helped me get where I am today.

With my daughter I was only able to nurse until 7 months, but that is because we conceived our son when she was 4 months old. There was a terrible learning curve with my daughter. She was placed in the NICU the first 4 days of her life and I thought, "that's it, it's not going to happen." But re-reading this book kept my hopes alive. It taught me that every woman is different, every woman's experience is different. I found myself going back to the book during those 7 months that she nursed whenever we'd have "issues." We weren't able to exclusively breastfeed, but it doesn't matter. I was able to provide her with the best start for her little life because I was informed. I would have given up the first day had it not been for this book.

A short 13 months after our daughter I gave birth to our son. I once again found myself re-reading the book, looking for little tips that would help with our nursing issues. This time it wasn't a supply issue, actually my supply was amazing at first. But within the first three months of his life it was determined he needed speech therapy to correct tongue issues with lead to nursing issues which in turn lead to supply issues. After weeks of therapy and a little boost from domperidone (noted in the book, it worked wonders for me) we have been exclusively breastfeeding for nearly 11 months now. I still hold firm to the belief that I WOULD NOT HAVE made it this far had it not been for the material in this book. If you read the book and LISTEN to what is being said you'll find comfort in knowing you had the knowledge to do what you dreamed of. Breastfeeding after a readuction is possible. I'm very saddened that I HAD to turn to a book to get the knowledge that for some reason an OB's office was unwilling to share, but grateful that the book exists.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Good book for lactation consultants and families regarding breastfeeding after ...
By milkypie
Good book for lactation consultants and families regarding breastfeeding after any breast surgery. I also highly recommend this book for plastic surgeons, obstetricians, and midwives. My favorite part is that in between the main chapters are personal stories of women's experiences of breastfeeding after reduction. I wish all breastfeeding and general parenting books were like this!

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Jumat, 13 Desember 2013

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Planning for Telephones in Buildings. For the Use of Architects, Engineers, Builders, Owners., by The Southern New England Telephone Compa

  • Published on: 1928
  • Binding: Hardcover

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[K858.Ebook] PDF Download A COURSE OF PURE MATHEMATICS, STUDENT EDITION, by G. H. Hardy

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A COURSE OF PURE MATHEMATICS, STUDENT EDITION, by G. H. Hardy

  • Sales Rank: #7114232 in Books
  • Published on: 1958
  • Binding: Paperback

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[K882.Ebook] Free PDF Corrective Exercise: A Practical Approach, by Kesh Patel

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Corrective Exercise: A Practical Approach, by Kesh Patel

Corrective and functional exercise is a rapidly advancing field. Exercise is an essential factor in all injury recovery, conditioning and performance, and if used correctly can play a preventative role in injury management. In the injured athlete, gym user or armchair athlete, corrective exercise can help to restore range of motion, re-build strength, endurance and power, re-establish neuromuscular control and balance, and provide positive progress for a specific sport or a healthier lifestyle.

Written by an experienced specialist in the field of rehabilitative and performance exercise, this book provides an essential practical guide to corrective and functional exercise for every sports therapist and fitness trainer, particularly those taking diplomas or NVQs at level 3. Packed with photos and illustrations, and full of accessible step-by-step explanations of the latest rehabilitative methods, every corrective and functional technique is covered in detail, from initial consultation to whole body exercises.

  • Sales Rank: #329767 in Books
  • Published on: 2005-07-31
  • Released on: 2005-07-29
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.69" h x .65" w x 7.44" l, 1.41 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 288 pages

About the Author
Kesh Patel is an exercise and movement specialist, a registered nutritionist and lecturer in clinical sports therapy. He is also the founder of the wellness clinic Origin: Health, which specialises in innovative functional and corrective exercise solutions for rehabilitation and performance.

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1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Well written and great resource for anyone interested in this field of study!
By Maria.K
This is a very impressive book on performing corrective exercises. He gets into anatomy, structure, function, muscles and then corrective exercises. You will learn tons from this book.

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Kamis, 12 Desember 2013

[L554.Ebook] PDF Ebook Revelation Expounded, by Finis Dake

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Revelation Expounded, by Finis Dake

Of Dake's many contributions to a clear understanding of Scripture, perhaps his greatest achievement is in simplifying matters of prophecy. Unencumbered by the hype and sensationalism so often associated with Bible prophecy, Dake offers a straightforward exposition of the text, supporting his teaching with hundreds of Scriptures.
Discover for yourself how eternal mysteries really can be simplified!

  • Sales Rank: #325283 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2011-02-03
  • Released on: 2011-02-03
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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18 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
The best found to explain the revelation of Jesus
By Richard W. Kelsey
Dake is a writer you can trust to "rightly divide the Word." He of the old school of understanding prophecy in the true meaning intended by Jesus as given to His servent, John. There is a modern-day writer, Hilton Sutton, who exceeds Dake's knowledge about the book of Revelation. These two men can be trusted for truth exposed by the Holy Spirit in these "Last Days."

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent Primer on Revelation
By A Customer
The Author give the beginning Bible student concise insight from the book of Revelation. He gives many references from which he draws his conclusions. The Author gives a step-by-step chronological approach that most Bible students will like.

15 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
Very informative and well written
By A Customer
Being a teenager wanting to learn more about the Bible and especially Revelations, this book has taught me what to expect. It also taught me the concepts in detail of the very mistifying book of REVELATIONS!It's a great book and I highly recommennd it.

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Rabu, 11 Desember 2013

[X217.Ebook] Download Ebook Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers, by John L Casti

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Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers, by John L Casti

"Mood Matters" makes the radical assertion that all social events ranging from fashions in music and art to the rise and fall of civilizations are biased by the attitudes a society holds toward the future. When the "social mood" is positive and people look forward to the future, events of an entirely different character tend to occur than when society is pessimistic. The book presents many examples from every walk of life in support of this argument. In addition, methods are given to actually measure the social mood and to project it into the future in order to forecast what’s likely or not over varying periods of time. Casti's writing is a pleasure to read and its contents an eye-opener.

"They [the chapters] tell an engrossing story, and the mystery heightens as it goes. . . . it's chatty and knowing." Greg Benford, Physicist and science-fiction writer, author of "Timescape" and "Deep Time"

"I am struck by how thought-provoking it all is. I am sure that your book will draw a lot of attention" Tor Norretranders, Science writer, author of "The Generous Man" and "The User Illusion".

  • Sales Rank: #8731506 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-11-01
  • Released on: 2014-11-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.25" h x .65" w x 6.10" l, .86 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 250 pages

Review

From the reviews:

"They [the chapters] tell an engrossing story, and the mystery heightens as it goes. . . . it's chatty and knowing." Greg Benford, Physicist and science-fiction writer, author of "Timescape" and "Deep Time"

"I am struck by how thought-provoking it all is. I am sure that your book will draw a lot of attention" Tor Norretranders, Science writer, author of "The Generous Man" and "The User Illusion".

“This is John Casti’s bold hypothesis in Mood Matters, which challenges both traditional financial theory and human gut reaction about how the world works. … The wealth of facts he presents should serve as valuable fuel for future scientific researchers arguing both for and against socionomics. In these times of financial turmoil, many people will pick up Mood Matters with the hope of predicting financial markets. … The book emphasizes the importance of sociometers in signaling that fate.” (Richard Taylor, Science, Vol. 329, September, 2010)

“Readable, exhaustively researched, and completely iconoclastic, this book was a pleasure for me on many levels. I am always eager to hear about new ways to view this old world, and Casti has a very new way to view world events. His thesis is that the mood of the people isn’t MADE by events, but … MAKES events. … The exhaustive research I mentioned is all documented in his appendices.” (Richard Derus, LibraryThings, October, 2010)

“In Mood Matters (2010) John Casti says a lot of things … about how ones attitude (mood) shapes events, and how we cycle back and forth between pessimism and optimism (mood). … a thought provoking book.” (LibraryThing, August, 2010)

“Mood Matters is great fun to read as Casti’s writing throughout is smooth, intelligent and humorous. … Casti explores the correlation between the ‘mood of the crowd’ and a range of other trends … and events, including the fall of nations and the outbreak of war. It is a hugely interesting and wide-ranging study. … For those involved in assessing trends and in predicting future events, whether social, political or economic, this book … change the whole way they ply their trade.” (Goodreads, August, 2010)

“John Casti … offers a truly unique and different perspective of why things happen – in our lives, in our world, and in our political systems. … I find John’s views of external events to be fresh and interesting … . he gives a very interesting view of how social influences indirectly – yet directly – impact the economic well-being of our society … . John has done a really nice job … . Mood Matters is a very well-written book, very detailed, and very thorough.” (Abraham Aizenman, TodayNewsline, February, 2011)

From the Back Cover

"Mood Matters" makes the radical assertion that all social events ranging from fashions in music and art to the rise and fall of civilizations are biased by the attitudes a society holds toward the future. When the "social mood" is positive and people look forward to the future, events of an entirely different character tend to occur than when society is pessimistic. The book presents many examples from every walk of life in support of this argument. In addition, methods are given to actually measure the social mood and to project it into the future in order to forecast what’s likely or not over varying periods of time. Casti's�writing is a pleasure to read and its contents an eye-opener.

"They [the chapters] tell an engrossing story, and the mystery heightens as it goes. . . . it's chatty and knowing." Greg Benford, Physicist and science-fiction writer, author of "Timescape" and "Deep Time"

"I am struck by how thought-provoking it all is. I am sure that your book will draw a lot of attention" Tor Norretranders, Science writer, author of "The Generous Man" and "The User Illusion".

About the Author

John L. Casti is a Senior Research Scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Laxenburg, Austria, where he works on the development of early-warning methods for extreme events in human society. He is also the co-founder of The Kenos Circle, a Vienna-based society for exploration of the future, and author of the previous bestselling volumes, Paradigms Lost, Would-Be Worlds and The Cambridge Quintet. He lives in Vienna.

Most helpful customer reviews

19 of 21 people found the following review helpful.
Provocative and appealing
By Wigner's Girlfriend
Mood Matters is great fun to read as Casti's writing throughout is smooth, intelligent and humorous. The message of the book - that the mood of a society dictates what will happen rather than the reverse - is counterintuitive at first sight, but supported by many quite surprising and convincing examples. Using various indicators, in particular stock-market prices, to measure the mood of a society, Casti explores the correlation between the "mood of the crowd" and a range of other trends (skirtlengths, car colour - sounds bizarre but is actually remarkable!) and events, including the fall of nations and the outbreak of war. It is a hugely interesting and wide-ranging study. As someone with only a moderate interest in economics, I read this book for stimulation and entertainment. For those involved in assessing trends and in predicting future events, whether social, political or economic, this book might just change the whole way they ply their trade.

16 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
Lessons in Socionomics
By John M. Lowe
The following review is based on an advance copy of Mood Matters (2010) by John L. Casti that I received from participation in the Library Thing Early reviewers program.

So what exactly is socionomics? After all, that's what this book is about. I could only find two online resources with English definitions that include the word socionomics: Wikipedia and Investopedia. In the Wikipedia article, I learned that the word socionomics was coined by Robert R. Prechter, Jr. who postulated in 1979 that "social mood drives financial, macroeconomic, and political behavior, in contrast to the conventional notion that such events drive social mood." In the Investopedia article, I learned that socionomics was "the study of social mood and its effects of social behavior." To illustrate, Investopedia observes that "where the traditional view would be that recessions cause businesses to become cautious, the socionomic view says that businesses become cautious and cause recessions." That's the way Casti thinks and writes -- upside down and backwards.

Prepare yourself. Casti's book is not an easy read. For instance, I extracted a randomly selected sample of Casti's prose, ran it through Gunning's Fog Index Calculator, and got a measure of 21.7, which places the text somewhere north of high school level. Thankfully, the book concludes with a very helpful annotated bibliography, greatly smoothing the pathway to our understanding of socionomics.

Before reading Casti's book, let me hasten to say that the more you know about the following topics before reading what Casti has to say about them, the easier it will be to understand Casti. For example, it would be beneficial for readers of Mood Matters if they were already acquainted with such topics as the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), Fibonacci Numbers, Herding Instinct, Ideavirus (Unleashing the Ideavirus by Seth Godin is claimed to be the most downloaded eBook of all time -- betcha didn't know that!), Kondratiev Cycles (K-waves: improvement, prosperity, recession, depression), Memetics, the Random Walk Theory (RWT), and the Socionomics Central Hypothesis.

Casti's book needs to be read in the light of two books by Robert R. Prechter, Jr.: Socionomics: The Science of History and Social Prediction (2003) and The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and the New Science of Socionomics (2002). Prechter's socionomic hypothesis postulates that internally regulated, not externally controlled, social mood is the primary driver of social action. Jargonauts like to restate Prechter's socionomic hypothesis in academic-speak by saying that, "in contexts of uncertainty, endogenous processes, not exogenous causes, create patterns of social behavior."

Perhaps a third book, namely, The (mis)Behavior of Markets (2004) by Benoit Mandelbrot, should also be required reading before attempting to comprehend Casti's Mood Matters. I bring this to the reader's attention because Elliott Waves are fractal in nature, and Mandelbrot presents "a fractal view of financial turbulence," as he makes his case against the Efficient Market Hypothesis.

It would also help to read Appendix A, Elliott Wave Analysis, in Mood Matters before wading into the core of the book. There you will learn about Elliott waves and Fibonacci retracements, triangles and zigzags, regular cycles and supercycles.

The Socionomics Central Hypothesis can be diagrammed hierarchically as follows:

"Herding Instincts + Interaction"

leads to

"Social Mood (Beliefs and Feelings)"

which leads to

"Social Behaviors and Collective Events"

Flow through the chart is one-way, from top to bottom. There is no movement in the opposite direction, from events to mood, and from mood to herding instincts, i.e., from bottom to top.

If this book is about culture, social mood, and behaviors, why the focus on financial charts? What does the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) have to do with rising skirt lengths and the collapse of world powers? Casti explains that he searched for years for a "Mood Meter." What kind of sociometer could he employ to measure the "temperature" of a population's mood? He considered several possibilities, including assessments of people's beliefs and feelings about the future, Internet data mining of search trends (like Google Trends), public opinion surveys and questionnaires, birth rates, and semantic textual analysis. Casti finally landed on financial market indexes, such as the DJIA, to measure the extremes of pessimism and optimism in society. Quoting journalist Kenneth Chang, Casti concluded that "A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim." Quoting Robert Prechter, Casti observed that charts of the DJIA and similar stock market indexes are literally drawings "of how the scales of mood are tipping. A decline indicates an increasing 'negative' mood on balance, and an advance indicates an increasing 'positive' mood on balance." It's as simple as that. For example, it is popularly believed that a bull market makes investors optimistic. On the contrary, socionomics says that optimistic investors create a bull market.

Does Casti make a good case for the "Science of Socionomics?" Yes. Sorta, kinda. Am I convinced? No. There are simply too many variables to be explained for one index to explain them all. Picking and choosing seems to be the name of Casti's game. Meanwhile, if the reader has been won over by the validity of the Socionomics Central Hypothesis, I have a hot tip for you. Buy stocks when hemlines are low and sell stocks when hemlines are high.

8 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
This Book Matters, Too
By Ed Binkowsk: Bink's Books
The latest book from John Casti, polymath and popularizer, is Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers, a presentation and extension of Robert Prechter's work on socionomics. Mood Matters can and should change the world; for its readers, it will surely do so.

Over the past decade or two belief in a "rational" actor who makes decisions in his own best interest has given way to a more nuanced view that each of us has "ruts" in our thinking that we perceive as "grooves": bad cognitive habits that are maladaptations for modern man. Whether such theories are called evolutionary psychology or behavioral economics, nudges or predictable irrationality, mirror neurons or framing, what they have in common is an emphasis on the thought processes of individuals. At the least controversial level socionomics instead focuses on the reasoning of a society as a whole. Just as Durkheim insisted, there is also a collective "social mood" that can only be formed at the group level, and subject to the same kinds of weaknesses and flaws as individual psyches. Think of "herding instincts" or of all the reasons why Popular Madness and the Delusions of Crowds will never be out-of-date. If thinking is hard, read any newspaper. If reading is hard, listen to talk radio.

The central hypothesis of socionomics, however, is a much less obvious statement; that is, it flies in the face of common sense, let alone the received wisdom: Everything You Know is Wrong. Socionomics believes that social mood affects later events, while events do not affect later social mood. (I use a weak term like "affect" because the causal chain is not that specific; Casti uses words like "bias" or "slant", i.e., the influence is in terms of shifting probabilities.)

What do we usually believe? That if upbeat songs are popular during one era, this will cheer people up, not that happy people are what make upbeat songs popular. That a failing economy will cause the population to be depressed, not that social depression causes the economy to fail. How could such obvious conclusions be doubted? Casti has only two things to support his insane theories: a clear, engaging writing style, and--all the evidence.

For example, the behavior of financial markets is a good measure of social mood; every investment is a bet on the future. If events cause moods and not the other way around, then tragic events such as 9/11, or the Kennedy assassination (the first one, anyway), or Pearl Harbor must have crushed the markets. Perhaps they did in our memories, but in actuality they did not. Casti provides example after example to shake us from our comfortable, erroneous beliefs.

Why should you, must you read this book? For the excitement of seeing a new field born before your eyes. For the challenge explicitly posed by the detailed research agenda Casti proposes to further explore these ideas. And, as in any Casti book, for the pleasures of his annotated bibliography, worth the price of admission all on its own. Do I have any quibbles? Well, this is the rare book I wished were longer, but I understand the author cut some topics short to make the treatment here more widely accessible. And Casti is more optimistic than I am about the utility and meaningfulness of Elliott waves. But this is the very first item to be nailed down in his research agenda. (I note that they arise here not as part of some numerological mumbo-jumbo but as a categorization of the simple feedback systems that inform cycles brought on by non-instantaneous cause and effect.)

Be sure to click the "I'd like to read this on Kindle" button!

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Minggu, 08 Desember 2013

[Y704.Ebook] Ebook Free Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson

Ebook Free Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson

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Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson

Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson



Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson

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Economics: The Original 1948 Edition, by Paul Samuelson

A rare reproduction of Nobel Prize Winner Paul Samuelson's original 1948 Classic economics textbook. For 50 years, Samuelson's Economics has been the standard-bearer for the field. Now in it's 16th edition, Samuelson is probably the most successful economics book ever published. The book has sold several million copies throughout the world, and has also been translated into more than 40 languages. The reproduction is far more than just a historical curiosity and an interesting object; it contains the original words of arguably the most influential and most widely read textbook economics author of the 20th century. This 1948 edition represents the orignal spark that ignited the Samuelson revolution--a movement which has endured for half a century, and influenced millions of young minds in hundreds of the world's best learning institution.

  • Sales Rank: #544718 in Books
  • Published on: 1997-12-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.80" w x 6.20" l, 2.48 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 656 pages

From the Back Cover
``. . .it has been a pleasant surprise to discover how much of the original verve and relevance is still there. That is the only kind of immortality that an author could have or want.''--Paul A. Samuelson From the FOREWORD. On a short list of textbooks that could truly be called immortal, Economics by Porfessor Paul A. Samuelson is among the most celebrated. Since 1948, Professor Samuelson's landmark work has been translated into more than 40 languages, analyzed and debated by millions of economics students, and honored by the great John Kenneth Galbraith. Its fundamental impact on the opinions and approaches of today's most influential economists is extraordinary. Now, McGraw-Hill is proud to make available this meticulously detailed reproduction of the watershed economics textbook. In Economics: The Original 1948 Edition (in which every word, idea, phrase, even the typestyle remain unchanged from the original), professor Samuelson's work remains as viable and thought-provoking as it was a half-century ago. The timeless wisdom applicability of his words still ring true in today's turbulent economic world. This unique and carefully crafted reprodctuion edition represents the original spark that ignited the Samuelson revolution--a movement that has endured for half a century. Doubly valuable for both its rich history and its still-fresh ideas, and with a new foreword by the author for this edition only, Professor Samuelson's Economics: The Original 1948 Edition will be an honored addition to every business and economics library.

About the Author
Professor Paul A. Samuelson, founder of the renowned MIT graduate department of economics, was trained at the University of Chicago and Harvard. His many scientific writings brought him world fame at a young age, and in 1970 he was the first American to receive a Nobel Prize in economics. One of those rare scientists who can communicate with the lay public, Professor Samuelson wrote an economics column for Newsweek for many years. He testifies often before Congress, serves as academic consultant to the Federal Reserve, the U.S. Treasury, and various private, nonprofit organizations, and was economic advisor to American presidents including John F. Kennedy

Most helpful customer reviews

19 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
Still the best introduction to the principles of economics
By Michael Emmett Brady
Samuelson's Economics is simply the best book available for any individual attempting to obtain an understanding of basic economics.Chapter 2 of the first edition lays out the foundation for an understanding of the different schools of macroeconomics by examining the micro foundation of macroeconomics-the production possibilities frontier(PPF) model.In this path breaking book,Samuelson called the PPF by its other name,the transformation curve.Chapter 11 then ties the student's knowledge of the PPF directly to the problem of insufficient(or too much)investment spending over time.Samuelson ,like Keynes,identifies the intertemporal problem of optimal investment expenditure as THE fundamental problem of all capitalist economies.The extreme volatility and unpredictability of aggregate investment expenditure over the business cycle IS the cause of involuntary unemployment.Samuelson then carefully explains the paradox of thrift in relation to where on the PPF the macroeconomy is operating.If the economy is operating on the boundary of the PPF then the microeconomic optimality conditions of the marginalist calculus,based on the rationality principle of classical and neoclassical economic theory,will reflect resource scarcity.A negative relationship will exist between consumption goods expenditure and investment goods expenditure.Such a smooth tradeoff over time can only mean that investment is NOT volatile and/or unpredictable over time.Private sector investment is as stable and predictable as private consumption spending over time in classical and neoclassical theory .CLASSICAL and NEOCLASSICAL economics is the study of economies operating,with minor inventory flucuations over time,primarily on the boundary of the PPF.This is a special theory that is contained in the Keynesian(neokeynesian)general theory that includes the usual case of the private sector operating IN THE INTERIOR of the PPF.In the interior of the PPF,the optimality conditions of neoclassical economics break down and fail to hold.IN THE INTERIOR the relationship between consumption goods and investment goods is positive,not negative.More savings does not lead to more investment but to less investment as businessmen cut back on the use of their capital stock in the face of decreasing current sales(and decreasing future expected sales)and rising inventories of unsold stocks of goods.This leads to further declines in the capacity utilization rate of the capital stock.The economy moves deeper into the interior of the PPF.More and more individuals are involuntarily laid off.The fall in incomes then negatively impacts consumption goods spending .A cumulative negative downward spiral,deeper and deeper into the interior of the PPF,LEADS TO MORE AND MORE UNEMPLOYMENT.This view of the business cycle is the opposite of the neoclassical view that the problem is naturally self correcting as business inventories adjust over time.It emphasizes the unadjustability of a fixed capital stock. Samuelson's solution,like Keynes's,is for the public sector to provide an offset to decreasing levels of private investment spending by increased public infrastructure spending.The multiplier process will then lead to increasing incomes ,creating expectations of future profits for businessmen.Private investment will increase,moving the economy back to a position on the boundary of the PPF.Neoclassical economics would then be operational.In summary,no other principles book(or intermediate or graduate level textbook)has ever said it better than Samuelson.Master this book and you will know economics.

26 of 32 people found the following review helpful.
The original edition is much better than the one I studied.
By Zvi Bodie
I was amazed to discover how good the original edition of Samuelson's classic economics text is. Virtually everything in it is just as relevant today as it was in 1948. Of special interest to me was chapter 10, Personal Finance and Social Security, for the light it sheds on the current debate about retirement income security. I think Samuelson ECONOMICS 1 ed. would be my textbook of choice for a course in introductory economics.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
The only enjoyable economics text I have ever found
By patoadam
This colorfully written book is the only enjoyable economics textbook I have ever come across. Some things in the book may be out of date, so I am reading this in parallel with the current edition of this text (edition 19e, co-authored by William D. Nordhaus), which is up-to-date but not as incisively written. For example, both editions carefully describe the many advantages and occasional disadvantages of a market economy. A sentence on this topic from the first edition reads: "John D. Rockefeller's dog may receive the milk that a poor child needs to avoid rickets." The current edition reads: "A rich man's cat may drink the milk that a poor boy needs to remain healthy."

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